The civil war only happens if the U.S. attacks after a secession, but the state that single most funds the U.S. military is California, if you include Washington and Oregon in the secession you now end up with 19ish% of the countries budget and a sizable percentage of the military bases. With the American civil war there was somewhat defined lines of north vs south but this would be fights inside their own states.
That’s actually not far off from how things shook out economically in the Civil War. The North had roughly 5x the manpower, firepower, and money of the South. The South was never going to “win” the Civil War, due to that disadvantage. For them, “winning” would have been making the war costly enough to the North that the North gave up.
The civil war only happens if the U.S. attacks after a secession, but the state that single most funds the U.S. military is California, if you include Washington and Oregon in the secession you now end up with 19ish% of the countries budget and a sizable percentage of the military bases. With the American civil war there was somewhat defined lines of north vs south but this would be fights inside their own states.
That’s actually not far off from how things shook out economically in the Civil War. The North had roughly 5x the manpower, firepower, and money of the South. The South was never going to “win” the Civil War, due to that disadvantage. For them, “winning” would have been making the war costly enough to the North that the North gave up.
And the sentiment of half the East Coast (the one that matters) would be sympathetic to the secessionists