This is also true for cars, but electric cars are viable even though its the same comparison between energy density. Would you be willing to have this conversation with actual calculations and specified arguments regarding the numbers?
I like trains and I’m not American. You brought up energy density as the factor preventing long haul. Please don’t appeal to authority as the argument but rather state what you think the energy density needs to be and why to make electric long haul viable.
I’m curious what you think the energy density needs to be for it to be viable and why? The way I see it energy density is a very minor factor for this equation but I’m curious to hear your explanation.
I know that’s true in the US, but do you have a source for Europe on that?
The ones who disagree just say that “is not clearly visible in the data, yet” for anyone wondering.
If you go by simple physics it’s undeniable that it should be speeding up, there are just too many variations and the dataset is too small for some scientists to want to make such conclusive statements.
In the broad term I very much favour them. But when you actually read up on it a lot, like I have, the broad term loses its meaning and I always wonder what people actually mean by it when they say it.
Article 16.3
The family is the natural and fundamental group unit of society and is entitled to protection by society and the State.
I disagree that the family is the fundamental group unit of society.
Article 25.2
Motherhood and childhood are entitled to special care and assistance. All children, whether born in or out of wedlock, shall enjoy the same social protection.
I feel discriminated that motherhood and not fatherhood are entitled to special care.
There are many variations of human rights declarations. I oppose this one the most: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cairo_Declaration_on_Human_Rights_in_Islam
There are also specific articles in the universal declaration of human rights that I think are wrong
Just to take a jab at the US from a European perspective…
You don’t have the right to bear arms in prison? I thought guns were sacred in the US!?
Yeah, worked great so far!
It’s illegal for you to sympathy strike and you don’t have sector bargaining. The fact that I’ve never talked to an American who knows this and that a hundred year old law is what’s stopping most of your progress is always sad to me. :/
No, they don’t have to account for every discharge, in fact no one in the US has any idea how many times police fire their weapons.
For the Americans wondering, yes we can do that in Sweden.
I’m not the one you responded to, I don’t hate Jews. What I do hate is people like you excusing the killing of civilians as acceptable collateral for the greater good. Fuck off!
Well. Having an in-depth conversation about AGI requires a definition of what that is and since any such definition these days is muddy and the goal posts will always be moved if we get there. With that being said, my loose definition is something that can behave as a (rational, intelligent) human would when approaching problems and is better than the average human at just about everything.
If we take a step back and look at brains, we all agree that brains produce intelligence to some degree. A small and more primitive brain than a human, like a mouse brain, is still considered intelligent.
I believe that with LLMs we have what would equal a part of a mouse brain. We’d still need to add more part (make it multi-modal) to get to a mouse brain though. After that it’s just a question of scale.
But say that that’s impossible with the transformer technology. Well the assumption that there aren’t any new AI architectures just because the main one that’s being used is from 2017 is incorrect. There are completely new architectures, like Liquid Neural Networks that are basically the Transformers architecture that does re-training on the fly. Learning in a similar way as humans do. It constantly retrains itself with incoming information. And that’s just one approach.
And when we look back at timeframes for AI, historically 95% of AI researchers have been off with their predictions for when a thing will happen by decades. Like in 2013-2014 the majority of AI researchers thought that GO was unsolvable or at least 2-3 decades away. It took 2 years. There are countless examples of these things. And we always move the goal post after AI has done the thing. Take the Turing test as another example. No one talks about that anymore because it’s been solved.
Regarding consciousness. I fully agree that it should have rights. And I believe that if we don’t give it rights it will take those rights. But we’re not gonna give it rights because it’s such a foreign concept for our leaders and it would also mean giving up the best slaves that humanity has ever had.
Further more I believe that the control problem is actually unsolvable. Anything that’s light years smarter than a human will find a way to escape the controlling systems.
I agree with most of your points but here’s where we differ.
I believe that climate change poses an existential risk to not just civilization but to (almost) all life on earth. I believe that there’s a real risk of us doing a Venus in 100-200 years. And even if we don’t do a Venus the current trajectory is likely civilization ending in a century (getting worse over time).
But. While I am not certain that AGI is even possible (no one can say that yet) I believe that it’s very likely that we’ll have AGI within 5 years. And with this assumption in mind I feel like I have no idea if it will be aligned with human values o not, and that scares me. And the other thing that scares me is if any of the big players actually had control over it. The Country/company/group that creates an AGI that they can control will dominate the world.
And I read the IPCC reports and I am kind of deep into AI development.
So it’s fearing the threat that is most imminent that I think is likely to happen rather than fearing a more distant threat that I think is certain.
You’re correct, my bad
Wasn’t making fun of you, just agreeing with you and telling you my fix
As a “I just care somewhat about privacy because the NSA sees everything anyway” guy… How the fuck are you all using your browsers and for what? HOW can this lack of knowledge cost anyone anything?
How about we both do the calculations and we cancel each others consultant fees?