I didn’t realize Nate Silver left 538 (he’s over at Silver Bulletin now.) Not sure how credible they are anymore, after Disney/ABC gutted the team, and he left with the magic sauce algorithms. They were the one place I semi-trusted for polling, most accurate I’ve come across (since 2012 or so).
Yeah, I’m not sure how reliable their final predicitons will be, but they’re definitely still useful for compiling polls, and their pollster ratings are useful since they only have to look at how close polls came to being correct after the actual vote. That’s primarily what I use them for.
I didn’t realize Nate Silver left 538 (he’s over at Silver Bulletin now.) Not sure how credible they are anymore, after Disney/ABC gutted the team, and he left with the
magic saucealgorithms. They were the one place I semi-trusted for polling, most accurate I’ve come across (since 2012 or so).Yeah, I’m not sure how reliable their final predicitons will be, but they’re definitely still useful for compiling polls, and their pollster ratings are useful since they only have to look at how close polls came to being correct after the actual vote. That’s primarily what I use them for.