• chetradley@lemm.ee
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    8
    ·
    10 days ago

    People have an inherent inability to assess probability. Even with “safer” games like black jack when your odds are a little closer to 50:50, people will keep pushing until they have no money left. Bet it all 4 times and there’s about a 94% chance you lose it all.

    • FlihpFlorp@lemm.ee
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      8
      ·
      9 days ago

      When I turned 21 my dad (very rational guy) was helping me learn video blackjack, it was stuff like determining probability, risk reward, strategy (getting dealer to guarantee bust allowing us to play safely), just blackjack stuff

      Some advice that will now stick with me if I ever go gambling again is, due to probability, losing any money you won and then some, is a matter of when. House will always win if you’re in it for the long game, so either quit while you ahead, quit once you’ve won $X, or quit once you’ve lost $Y. Always assume the third option will happen even if you’re playing smart

      • chetradley@lemm.ee
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        1
        ·
        9 days ago

        That’s the smart plan. Every time I’ve been to a casino (4 times I can recall) I had an amount set aside that I was prepared to lose and that would be it for me. A couple times I got ahead and just cashed out.

        • FlihpFlorp@lemm.ee
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          3
          ·
          9 days ago

          Your comment reminded me of another thing he said regarding that matter

          Think of the money your putting in as what your willing to pay for to have fun

            • FlihpFlorp@lemm.ee
              link
              fedilink
              English
              arrow-up
              2
              ·
              9 days ago

              Oh yeah 100%

              There’s a reason the guy who whips out the terms of service to get a better deal is in charge of our families finances