Germany’s foreign intelligence service believed there was a 80-90% chance that coronavirus accidentally leaked from a Chinese lab, German media say. Two German newspapers say they have uncovered details of an assessment carried out by spy agency BND in 2020 but never published.

The intelligence service had indications that the Wuhan Institute of Virology had been carrying out experiments where viruses are modified to become more transmissible to humans for research, they say.

China repeated its denial saying the cause “should be determined by scientists” - and pointed to a World Health Organization investigation which found the lab-leak theory was “extremely unlikely”.

The lab leak hypothesis has been hotly contested by scientists, including many who say there is no definitive evidence to back it up. But the once controversial theory has been gaining ground among some intelligence agencies - and the BND is the latest to entertain the theory. In January, the US CIA said the coronavirus was “more likely” to have leaked from a lab than to have come from animals.

  • wurzelgummidge@lemmy.ml
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    9 hours ago

    But the once controversial theory has been gaining ground among some intelligence agencies

    ie someone at the CIA who wont put their name to it, and a couple of corporate owned German newspapers who they fed it to

  • NatakuNox@lemmy.world
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    13 hours ago

    It doesn’t matter where it came from! It doesn’t change the fact that the government and corporations left us die, then they picked over our carcasses.

  • HiddenLayer555@lemmy.ml
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    14 hours ago

    They keep “believing” that’s what happened because they have not presented any concrete evidence that can be used to get rid of that qualifier.

  • Bloomcole@lemmy.ml
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    14 hours ago

    “Germany’s foreign intelligence” LOL
    And who wouldn’t trust the BBC mouthpiece?

  • davel [he/him]@lemmy.ml
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    15 hours ago

    Reporter: [REDACTED]
    Reason: misinformation

    What, we’re supposed to remove UK state-affiliated media articles about German state intelligence assessments?

    • geneva_convenience@lemmy.mlOP
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      13 hours ago

      They are so well trained that even when their own governments retroactively admit they lied, they will not believe it and still say lab leak is a conspiracy theory.

  • mlg@lemmy.world
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    14 hours ago

    BBC

    Go back to sleep, this is just repeat cope for failing to handle a pandemic and shifting the blame to another country.

  • CrimeDad@lemmy.crimedad.work
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    15 hours ago

    I really don’t think it’s that hard to believe that some postdoc in Wuhan screwed up and let it loose accidentally.

    • cynar@lemmy.world
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      12 hours ago

      The complication is the double jump.

      In the early days of COVID, there were 2 strains spreading. One of those fizzled out and disappeared after a few weeks. Genetically, they seemed to be independent jumps. A single mistake wouldn’t account for this.

      It’s also worth noting that the first known infected all spent time in Wuhan wildlife market. They got fairly good tracking from mobile phones, even if the direct evidence was destroyed by the containment/cleaning effort.

      Basically, the surrounding evidence doesn’t fit an accidental leak (2 jumps). It doesn’t really fit an intentional release (very geographically focused). It is consistent with it jumping from a sustained infection pool in the market. (Multiple jumps from the same small area at different times).

      • CrimeDad@lemmy.crimedad.work
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        10 hours ago

        That seems like a reasonable challenge to the lab leak hypothesis, but I have to defer to my wife on it. She has a relevant background in microbiology, medicinal chemistry, and pharmacology and says that something about the structure of the viruses suggests convincingly that at least one of the COVID variants was of man-made origin. She’s also been working in labs for almost twenty years and has seen too many accidents and near-misses. As a lay person, that explanation makes enough sense to me to find the lab leak hypothesis plausible. Also, I’m not going to disagree with a well-published scientist who is also my wife.

        • cynar@lemmy.world
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          2 hours ago

          Ultimately, it’s of mostly academic interest. Where do we need to tighten down on things to avoid a repeat incident. The best answer would be “Both”.

          Also, do you have a link to any papers talking about the man-made origin theory? I’ve not checked in a while, but last time I looked it sent me down a lot of rabbit holes, with nothing ultimately backing it up.

    • Pennomi@lemmy.world
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      13 hours ago

      Plausibility is not evidence, however. I think it’s dangerous to try to place blame on somebody for nothing more than a maybe.

      • DaveyRocket@lemmy.world
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        13 hours ago

        I think the biggest problem in this whole debacle is the utter opaqueness offered by China when trying to get to the source. Is this China’s fault? Well hold on. While this accident may have happened in China, China’s lax attitude toward safety precautions are an open secret. It’s much like the shady labor practices in, well China for one, that we turn a blind eye to. Why?Because it’s cheaper. So partly it is the unevenly applied and audited safety standards. If people are giving China research money, then those labs should be held to an international standard.

        Arguing there is no evidence is extremely disingenuous when Chinese government hid most of it. One should be careful about saying “There is no evidence.” too confidently. At a certain point it sounds like an accomplishment and not a result.

        • yunxiaoli@sh.itjust.works
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          7 hours ago

          Hey so just a question, are the Chinamen shabby, rushed and incompetent, or are those dirty commies so incredibly, inconceivably competent and meticulous to instantly hide all information that would make them look bad?

          Both paradoxically must be true for your sinophobic conspiracy theory to work.

  • davel [he/him]@lemmy.ml
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    15 hours ago

    The SARS-CoV-2 gain of function research was going on under Fauci’s watch.

    Jeffrey Sachs:

  • sittinonatoilet@sopuli.xyz
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    15 hours ago

    Two German newspapers say they have uncovered details of an assessment carried out by spy agency BND in 2020 but never published.

    But the once controversial theory has been gaining ground among some intelligence agencies - and the BND is the latest to entertain the theory.